Global Strategic Trends

One of the things that Shell has done for over 30 years is craft long term scenarios, looking at possible developments in societies and the world. Twenty years ago, I became involved in helping to set up similar exercises in Shell focusing on possible futures of Information Technology.

 

I am reminded of that with the news that the UK Ministry of Defence has just published its own long term study of Global Strategic Trends, which attempts to forecast trends in the context of Defence out to 30 years. A summary is here, and the full study can be downloaded from here.

 

As has already been noted, the report has definite Ballardian overtones, mixed, I would say, with a soupçon of Brunner…