Reflections on life at “De Witte Wand”…

  • Be Afraid…

    … be very afraid. This travesty is running for Vice-President of the US? Even though I’m an atheist, this is enough to make me pray fervently: God help us all.
     
    Addendum: PZ Myers points to the same video of Sarah Palin and makes the (to me) truly horrifying point that many Americans are likely to see nothing amiss. Given this, and the age and health of McCain, the odds maybe are not so far away from this woman being the US President in a few years. Stop the world, I want to get off.

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  • The Delta Commission

    In 1953, severe storms in the North Sea led to widespread flooding in the west of the Netherlands. As a result, the Dutch government of the time set up a commission – the Delta Commission – to investigate and report on preventative measures that the country could take to prevent a repeat of the damage. Major civil engineering work resulted – the Delta Works.
     
    While the main work was completed in 1997, because of climate change and the rising sea level, up to 30% of the current dikes are considered still not to be high enough. Accordingly, a new Delta Commission was set up in 2007, and today they have presented their report to the Dutch Cabinet. The presentation, by the chairman, Professor dr. Cees Veerman, was televised, and I’ve just been watching it. The results are sobering: by 2050, the sea-level is expected to rise by 40 cm. By 2100, the rise is expected to be between 65 to 130 cm, and by 2200, a rise of between 2 to 4 metres is forecast. The risk of extensive flooding in the Netherlands, if nothing is done, is unacceptable. As Veerman said, the situation is not acute, but it is urgent. The commission has made a number of recommendations. We shall see whether they are carried out, but Prime Minister Balkende, in his response to the report, was very positive and I expect that the report recommendations will be implemented. The potential economic damage to the Netherlands if nothing is done would be disastrous.
     
     

    One response to “The Delta Commission”

    1. jean Avatar
      jean

      could you visit my blog (jean schepman ) if you speak french , i m fighting for years now to protect our french polder on the noth sea coest i was in gent to day

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  • The Pill-Popping Society

    Ben Goldacre has an excellent piece on his blog on how society is becoming medicalised. We are encouraged to reach for a pill at the earliest opportunity. Worth reading.

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  • The Guinea Worm

    You can add the guinea worm to the list of species that, as far as I am concerned, tip the scales of evidence in favour of the proposition that God is either a) a sadist, b) indifferent or c) non-existent.

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  • If I Give Her The Wool…

    …would she make me one too? That’s the punchline to a hoary old joke that begins: "my mother made me a homosexual…".
     
    I couldn’t help but remember it when I read Johann Hari’s piece: "What makes some of us gay?" Actually, Johann’s piece is an excellent summary of where we are in the nature vs. nuture debate. Definitely worth reading.

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  • A Letter to Nature

    The esteemed science journal Nature recently had an editorial on the work of the John Templeton Foundation. The editorial has brought a response, in the form of a letter to the journal, from Matthew Cobb and Jerry Coyne. I found myself nodding in agreement with the content, particularly the conclusion:
    You suggest that science may bring about "advances in theological thinking". In reality, the only contribution that science can make to the ideas of religion is atheism.
    The editorial itself can be found here. The comment thread on the Pharyngula entry about the letter is a good illustration of how pointless it can be to feed trolls. Or, to put it another way, why you shouldn’t wrestle in the mud with a pig. You simply get dirty, while the pig enjoys it. 

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  • The Unblinking Eye

    I really enjoy Future Perfect – the blog of Jan Chipchase, a researcher at Nokia. He travels the world noticing, and photographing, examples of how cultures use technology, often in intriguing ways; or how norms in one society signal something very different in another. Do drop by, I don’t think you will be bored.

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  • The Role of Evidence

    I’ve just watched the first Headcast of John Cleese, which I mentioned in the previous blog entry. He makes some good points – and he also begs the question a number of times.
     
    For example, he, rightly, notes our natural tendency to ignore evidence. But he also assumes that there is good evidence to begin with. He quotes approvingly from Irreducible Mind (written by people he knows) in the argument to demonstrate that not all aspects of mind are generated by brain activity. The authors state that there is evidence that psi-phenomena and PK do exist, and that’s therefore good enough for him. He implies that not accepting this ‘evidence’ is equivalent to the academics who refused to look through Galileo’s telescope to see the evidence of craters on the moon, because they knew that the moon did not have craters. Well, I don’t think it’s equivalent at all. I’m perfectly prepared to look at the ‘evidence’ – and so far, the ‘evidence’ has turned out to be anecdote for the existence of psi and P.K.
     
    Another example quoted by Cleese shows more clearly what I mean. He quotes the recollection of Stanislav Grof of a conversation with Carl Sagan. Grof is recounting the story of a Near Death Experience documented in the book of surgeon Dr. Michael Sabom: Light and Death – a documentation of nearly 50 NDEs. Sagan apparently rejected the story, brusquely claiming that Sabom was merely hyping up the events in the operating theatre for the benefit of book sales. Cleese invites us to shake our heads sorrowfully at this refusal to accept the evidence.
     
    Well, let’s look a bit closer at the evidence, shall we, John?
     
    I think it’s reasonable to assume that the event described by Grof to Sagan was the case of Pam Reynolds, since it forms an integral part of Sabom’s book. If so, then the ‘evidence’ certainly does not point unequivocally to the interpretation that Sabom, and those who believe that the mind exists at least partially separate from brain activity, would like to put on it. The data in the case can be read both ways. It’s also interesting to look at the context of Sabom’s book (which I freely admit I have not read). I note this review on Amazon of the book:
    This book is written from the perspective of a conservitive [sic] Christian with extensive knowledge and access to NDEs. Scripture is used to interpret NDEs. When NDEs agree with the Bible, they become prof [sic] that the scriptures are inerrant and when NDEs don’t, it is because evil has tainted the experience. Purely from a Christian point of view.. Not recommended for those looking for a more universal or balanced perspective. 
    The sound of an author grinding an axe seems to come through to me – a reaction not too dissimilar from that of Sagan’s, I feel.
     
    To sum up, I try not to discount evidence, but I do ask that evidence comes with a measurable quality – and I will have no compunction or guilt in rejecting that which has dubious quality. As I’ve said before, I do try to keep an open mind, but not so open that my brain will fall out.

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  • The Wit and Wisdom of John Cleese

    Thanks to a reference over at Atheist Media, I’ve now discovered that John Cleese has a Podcast site. There’s a collection of short skits or presentations that he’s done. I’m still going through them, but I was rather taken with podcast #33: The Brain Explained, in which Cleese channels Stanley Unwin – someone who will be unknown to most of Cleese’s fans. Cleese also dons the scientist’s white coat in podcast #32: The God Gene – which pokes fun at those who oversimplify the naturalistic view of the universe.
     
    He’s also started a new venture: the Headcast, in which he delivers short chats to camera. These are downloadable videos at the absurdly low price of $1 each. Great value for money. Mind you, in the first chat he talks approvingly about Richard Tarnas, whose 1991 book – The Passion of the Western Mind – sounds quite interesting. But my heart sank when I read the précis of his second tome: Cosmos and Psyche. I quote: [it] "challenges basic assumptions of the modern world view, postulating the existence of a consistent correspondence between planetary movements (specifically the astrological aspects) and archetypal patterns of human experience, also called astrology."
     
    Oh dear, that doesn’t sound good. Another philosopher who’s wandered into woo, perhaps? 

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  • Photosynth

    I mentioned a couple of days ago that Microsoft has released Photosynth. The site seems to be a bit overwhelmed by the demand, as my first experiments in creating Synths failed on the uploading stage. However, they seem to be there now. Here’s an example
     
    Note: if you want to explore it, the Photosynth applet will first have to be downloaded and installed into your browser.

    Addendum: And of course Microsoft has now scrapped the Photosynth product and technology, so none of these links work anymore. It’s dead, Jim.

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  • That Old Sinking Feeling

    I think Justin, over at Chicken Yoghurt, sums up the queasiness I felt when watching Britain’s eight-minute segment in the Olympic closing ceremony yesterday. Dear lord, it was pretty dire. A wonderful harbinger of the joy to come in 2012 – assuming I survive that long.

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  • The Long Journey

    Two presentations on the history of humanity as a species. First, Spencer Wells talking about the Genographic Project, which looks at our shared DNA over millenia. It’s fascinating, and he presents the information well.
     
    Second, here’s the history of human migration out of Africa presented interactively on the web site of the Bradshaw Foundation. Also very good, and draws upon the work of Stephen Oppenheimer.

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  • A Field Guide to Software Engineers

    This field guide is so true – in the course of my time in the computer business, I’ve met examples of all of these species. I have occasionally been known to wake up in a cold sweat thinking about some of them.

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  • Long Term Backup

    Over at the Long Now Blog, Kevin Kelly writes on the challenges of preserving human knowledge over long periods of time – thousands of years. The Long Now Foundation has come up with one possible way of doing this, by micro-etching up to 350,000 pages of information onto a 3-inch nickel disc with an estimated lifespan of 2,000 -10,000 years. As a proof-of-concept experiment, they have created a disc that is a modern day equivalent of the Rosetta Stone – it contains the text of Genesis written in over 1,500 human languages.
     
    While part of me appreciates the fact of trying to preserve a record of these languages beyond the civilisations and societies that produced them, I can’t help but feel that there’s a missed opportunity in the choice of text. I’m not sure that I would use a creation myth dating from around 2,500 years ago – it’s likely to confuse future readers (human or otherwise), rather than illuminate. I can see them now (shades of Vroomfondel and Magikthise) voicing the thought: did they actually believe this rubbish? It reminds me of the short story in which alien explorers puzzle over what human society must have been like based on the sole surviving artifact that they have – a Walt Disney cartoon short. 
     
    Mind you, I’m not sure what I would substitute in place of Genesis. Perhaps I would not substitute, but supplement. I would have included the blueprints of the Large Hadron Collider on the disc.

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  • Special Effects

    As I’ve mentioned before, it’s becoming almost too easy to produce convincing fake footage these days. Here’s a collision between the Star Wars universe and San Francisco…
     
    (hat tip to James Senior)

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  • When Alarm Bells Ring…

    There are certain phrases that start alarm bells ringing in my head. An excellent example is provided by the Pub Philosopher. S/he’s commented upon that nasty little phrase that starts with "Speaking as…" 

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  • Photosynth Released

    I see that Microsoft has now released the first version of Photosynth that allows you to use your own photos to create 3D spaces. I can’t wait to try it out…

    Addendum: And of course Microsoft has now scrapped the Photosynth product and technology, so none of these links work anymore. It’s dead, Jim.

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  • Exorcise Your Inner Gay

    Father Jeremy Davies sounds like a real bundle of fun. What I find astonishing is that he apparently studied at St. Bart’s Hospital in London and graduated with a medical degree in 1967. Perhaps Westminster residents should carry the equivalent of a donor card: "In the event of my hospitalisation, please do not let Fr. Davies anywhere near me".
     
    (hat tip to PZ Myers for the link)

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  • Antithetical Advert

    Over at Obscene Desserts, the Wife points out an example of an advert that is meant to convey feelings of security and safety, but ends up conveying the complete opposite to those of us brought up on Orwell. Spooky in the extreme.

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  • Missing the Point

    I see that Mark Vernon has taken another swipe at one of his favourite bête noires: Richard Dawkins. It strikes me as a particularly foolish piece. In it, he seems to be complaining that Dawkins’ latest series of TV Programmes (The Genius of Charles Darwin) focuses too much on the challenges to Darwin’s theory, rather than on some of the latest findings such as evolutionary convergence.
     
    Er, Mark, the clue is in the title, the programmes are about Darwin, his original theory and how he wrestled to reconcile it with his (and particularly his wife’s) religious beliefs, and about how the theory continues to challenge some believers to this day. 
     
    Despite the mountains of evidence, a large number of people still insist on sticking their fingers in their ears and go "la la la, I can’t hear you…". I actually find their reaction perfectly understandable. I too, would find it difficult to reconcile species such as the Ichneumonoidea and Toxoplasma gondii with the idea of a loving god. Indeed, even Darwin said:
    "I cannot persuade myself that a beneficent and omnipotent God would have designedly created the Ichneumonidae with the express intention of their feeding within the living bodies of Caterpillars, or that a cat should play with mice." 
    If anything, their existence (and of thousands of species like them) is evidence of either a sublimely indifferent deity or one who apparently revels in sadism. Or, of course, by Occam’s razor, the total absence of any deity at all.
     
    Mark also rather shot his bolt a little too soon, after apparently seeing only two of the three programmes. So his banging on about the absence of any mention of convergent evolution was rendered spectacularly pointless when, in the third programme, Dawkins pointed to the fact that eyes have been reinvented at least forty times in nature as a perfect example of convergent evolution. I would also point Mr. Vernon to Dawkins’ The Ancestor’s Tale, where convergence is examined at length; indeed, a whole chapter (The Host’s Return) is devoted to the concept of re-running the tape of evolution and to the emergence of recurring patterns. As Dawkins says (not that you would think it, from Vernon’s strawmen arguments):
    "As I look at these natural experiments, mostly I am impressed by how similarly evolution turns out when it is allowed to run twice. We have seen how alike Thylacinus is to a dog, Notoryctes to a mole, Petaurus to flying squirrels, Thylacosmilus to the sabretooths (and to various ‘false sabretooths’ amongst the placental carnivores). The differences are instructive too. Kangaroos are hopping antelope-substitutes." 
     
     
    "I am tempted by Conway Morris’s belief that we should stop thinking of convergent evolution as a colourful rarity to be remarked and marvelled at when we find it. Perhaps we should come to see it as a norm, exceptions to which are occasions for surprise. For example, true syntactic language seems to be unique to one species, our own. Perhaps – and I shall return to it – this is one thing that a re-evolved brainy biped would lack?
     
    In my opening chapter, The Conceit of Hindsight, I listened to warnings against seeking patterns, rhymes or reasons in evolution, but said that I would cautiously flirt with them. The Host’s Return has provided an opportunity to sweep over the whole course of evolution in the forward direction and see what patterns we can descry. The idea that all evolution was aimed at producing Homo sapiens was certainly well rejected, and nothing we have seen on our journey reinstates it. Even Conway Morris claims only that something approximately similar to our kind of animal is one of several outcomes – others being insects, for example – that we would expect to see recurring if evolution were rerun again and again."
    Mark finishes his article by venturing into woo-woo territory as far as I’m concerned:
    For example, if there is some kind of independent mentality within the universe, then this might help us to understand the existence of consciousness. Think of another branch of science, quantum mechanics. As the physicist Eugene Wigner put it: "The very study of the external world led to the conclusion that the content of consciousness is an ultimate reality." Consciousness existing like air, land and water? It is a contentious proposition but not simply "not science".  
    Yeah, Mark, but applying the scientific method may not bring any comfort to that sort of wishful thinking. That way lies woo and Deepak Chopra. Methinks that the direction pointed to by the scientific method lies elsewhere.
     
    But what I think really takes the biscuit in Mark’s article is the closing:
    Ruse himself is more cautious: it is easy to run ahead of the science. "Darwinism has major implications for thoughts of purpose," he concludes, but be careful. On the other hand, it is easy to lag behind the science too, not least when evolution is used as a political stick rather than celebrated as part of the human quest for knowledge. 
    The clear implication, to me, is that Vernon seems to be suggesting that Dawkins is guilty of using evolution as a political stick rather than celebrating it as part of the human quest for knowledge. If so, I find this absolutely outrageous, and the total opposite of the facts of the case. In all three programmes, Dawkins has explicitly celebrated both Darwin and his theory as part of the human quest for knowledge. And for Dawkins not to show that some are bent on extinguishing the beacon lit by Darwin would be failing in his duty to show the truth. Now I am beginning to think that not only is this piece by Mark Vernon foolish, but it also apparently has elements of both ingenuousness and mendacity in it as well.

    3 responses to “Missing the Point”

    1. Unknown Avatar
      Unknown

      What Mark Vernon is getting at is some work by the Christian paleontologist (and very much a darwinian) Simon Conway Morris.  Where Conway Morris differs from mainstream neo-darwinians like Dawkins, Maynard Smith and co is that he’s a teleologist.  For a Christian, evolution has to have some kind of purpose (God did it).   But he’s no creationist–he thinks God did it using natural selection.The way this works, in Conway Morris’s view, is that evolution has an inbuilt direction, which is provided in part by the environment in which it occurs (this universe, created by you know who).  In part, also, it is provided by cryptic encoding within the genetic material.  For instance he believes that the first chordates (the phylum of tiny marine organisms from which the vertebrates later evolved as a subphylum) were predestined to produce the human brain.  It’s all a bit weird. You can get a flavor of Conway Morris’s scientific/religious thinking (which I find fascinating but very alien) in his 2005 Boyle lecture here:http://www.stmarylebow.co.uk/?download=BoyleLecture05.pdf(Warning: PDF file).I’ve also posted a response to Vernon on my own blog, here:http://weblog.xanga.com/tonysidaway/670999186/doctor-pangloss-rides-again.html

    2. Geoff Avatar
      Geoff

      Thanks, Tony. And thanks for the "Doctor Pangloss" piece. I confess I find religious teleology a bit weird – it strikes me as being a more subtle version of pareiodelia. Conway Morris may not be seeing the Virgin Mary in a bun, but there’s something similar going on, I feel.

    3. Geoff Avatar
      Geoff

      Gawd, my dyslexia (or Alzheimer’s) is getting the better of me: I meant to write pareidolia

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